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Saginaw’s Cole Perfetti popular pick for Red Wings in mock drafts - MLive.com

The first pick in the 2020 NHL entry draft is a given.

Most analysts and draft prognosticators agree on who the second and third selections will be, though not necessarily the order.

The real suspense in this year’s draft starts with the fourth pick.

That is where the Detroit Red Wings were relegated to during the June draft lottery. The list of players they might take includes centers Cole Perfetti of Saginaw (OHL) and Marco Rossi of Ottawa (OHL), Swedish wingers Lucas Raymond (Frolunda) and Alexander Holtz (Djurgardens) and defenseman Jamie Drysdale of Erie (OHL).

Or maybe general manager Steve Yzerman will pull a surprise and take someone projected to go lower, like he did last year with defenseman Moritz Seider.

Yzerman will not be selecting left wing Alexis Lafreniere of Rimouski (QMJHL). He will be the first player taken, barring a complete and utter shock. He will go to one of the eight teams that loses in the qualifying round of the playoffs, which will be determined during the second phase of the lottery (all will have a 12.5 percent chance of winning) later this summer.

The Los Angeles Kings, with the second pick, are certain to select either center Quinton Byfield of Sudbury (OHL) or winger Tim Stuetzle of Mannheim (Germany). The Ottawa Senators, selecting third, probably will take whoever is available of those two.

The Red Wings were disappointed to drop to fourth despite finishing 23 points behind the second-worst team when the season was paused on March 12 due to the coronavirus pandemic. It is still their highest pick since 1990 and should have a profound impact on their rebuild.

The Red Wings need scoring and they need help on the blue line. They also need a goaltender of the future and Yaroslav Askarov of St. Petersburg (Russia) is sure to be available at No. 4. But it seems unlikely the Red Wings would take a goalie that high.

Here is a look at some post-draft lottery projections on who the Red Wings will select at No. 4:

Sportsnet: Cole Perfetti, C-LW, Saginaw (OHL)

Sam Cosentino writes: “There are countless ties between Detroit and Perfetti. Most importantly, Perfetti spent the season a short drive away from the Motor City, allowing everyone in the organization to get multiple looks as well as get up close and personal to know him away from the rink. He’s equally as impressive a young man as he is a player. For Perfetti, his hockey IQ may be the best in this draft class. His awareness is uncanny. Anticipating a play in neutral ice or jumping the play to earn a breakaway is not uncommon.”

TSN: Jamie Drysdale, D, Erie (OHL)

Craig Button says: “It changes significantly from 1 to 4, but it doesn’t with respect to Jamie Drysdale, a No. 1 elite, complete, right-shot defenseman. You can build a winner with Jamie Drysdale on your blue line.”

Tankathon: Lucas Raymond, RW, Frolunda (Sweden)

Playing on a good team in Sweden’s highest league as a 17-year-old, his stats were not impressive (four goals, six assists in 33 games), but analysts rave about his offensive skills. At 5-10 and 165, he has been described as a great skater and slick puck-handler, an excellent playmaker with good hockey sense.

Draftsite.com: Perfetti

Bill Placzek writes: “Strong, skilled smaller center-wing who is always involved in the middle regions of all three zones, in the areas where the pucks frequent. When he steps on the sheet, he easily can be viewed as the smartest player out there, and one that can penetrate and puncture the opposition’s defense and get looks. He wants the puck and uses great balance and strong quads to beat defenders one-on-one, get pucks back and maintain a high pace at both ends. A high-end stick-handler and elite-level game-thinker, he keeps pucks close to his body in his carries and rarely over-handles, choosing instead to stop abruptly, shifts laterally and find a teammate.”

NBC Sports: Drysdale

James O’Brien writes: “Largely believed to be the best defenseman in the 2020 NHL Draft, Drysdale should draw plenty of attention. Experts praise Drysdale’s skating -- not just speed, but strong edge work -- as one of his best qualities. Experts diverge, however, on how much of an impact Drysdale can make. The Red Wings selected Moritz Seider during the 2019 NHL Draft, so maybe they’d prefer a forward. But … honestly, they need a bit of everything after a profoundly disastrous season. The Red Wings simply need to pick who they believe is the best player available.”

Bleacher Report: Perfetti

For what it’s worth, the Red Wings passed on Saginaw forwards Brandon Saad (selected 43rd by Chicago) and Vincent Trocheck (64th to Florida) in 2011 to take Tomas Jurco at 35. Before that, they passed on defenseman T.J. Brodie in 2008 (114th to Calgary) in favor of Max Nicastro at No. 91.

More: Defenseman Jamie Drysdale might be best fit for Red Wings at No. 4

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