With the NFL season right around the corner, you have just over a week to get in your Super Bowl LVI picks. The reigning champions in Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the second-highest odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in 2022, behind Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Last year, the Bucs were tied for the fourth-lowest odds at +1200. Congrats to our own Ryan Wilson and Tyler Sullivan who correctly tabbed them as a good bet in last year's article.
Every year, the CBS Sports NFL staff sits down and picks a few Super Bowl winners. Our roster was instructed to simply pick the team they think will win the Super Bowl, and then identify a best "long-shot" bet. Those taking part in this article are NFL insider Jonathan Jones, senior writer Pete Prisco, Pick Six Podcast host Will Brinson, plus writers John Breech, Ryan Wilson, Chris Trapasso, Jordan Dajani, Jared Dubin, Josh Edwards, Tyler Sullivan, Bryan DeArdo, Cody Benjamin and Jeff Kerr.
Below, we will list the Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams and then give our best bets.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
Super Bowl odds
Kansas City Chiefs +500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +650
Buffalo Bills +1200
Los Angeles Rams +1400
Green Bay Packers +1400
San Francisco 49ers +1400
Baltimore Ravens +1400
Cleveland Browns +1600
Tennessee Titans +2500
Seattle Seahawks +2500
New England Patriots +3000
Miami Dolphins +3000
Dallas Cowboys +3000
Los Angeles Chargers +3000
New Orleans Saints +3000
Indianapolis Colts +3500
Arizona Cardinals +4000
Minnesota Vikings +4000
Denver Broncos +4000
Pittsburgh Steelers +4000
Chicago Bears +5000
Washington Football Team +5000
Atlanta Falcons +6000
Carolina Panthers +8000
Las Vegas Raiders +8000
Philadelphia Eagles +8000
New York Giants +8000
Cincinnati Bengals +12500
Jacksonville Jaguars +12500
New York Jets +12500
Detroit Lions +20000
Houston Texans +25000
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CBS Sports Staff Best Bets
Kansas City Chiefs +500
Prisco: The reason they lost to the Bucs in the last Super Bowl was because they couldn't protect Patrick Mahomes. The upgrades on the offensive line will change that which is why the Chiefs will go back to the Super Bowl and win it it this time.
Dajani: The Chiefs are motivated to hoist the Lombardi Trophy again after being embarrassed by the Bucs in the big game last year. Tight end Travis Kelce told me this offseason that he wants the second Super Bowl more than the first, and Kansas City is built to win it all.
Dubin: The Chiefs are my pick to win the Super Bowl and I get 5-to-1 odds here, so I'll take that.
Jones: It's less than I'm picking against Tom Brady and more that I'm picking for Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs invested in their OL this offseason and looked like their usual selves in the final exhibition against the Vikings. I also like how they close with the Bengals and Broncos when their playoff spot could well be secured and could get a little more rest heading into the postseason.
Edwards: If I am getting plus money -- even as the favorite -- for the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl after falling short, I am taking it. It is not exactly going out on a limb but Kansas City upgraded the protection of Patrick Mahomes and that is all that tripped them up a year ago.
Kerr: The Chiefs have the best odds to win the Super Bowl, but Kansas City has the most talented roster in a loaded AFC. Patrick Mahomes is still their quarterback and Andy Reid is still their coach -- a combination that has made the AFC Championship Game in each of the last three seasons. General manager Brett Veach drastically improved the Chiefs' biggest weakness -- assembling one of the deepest offensive lines in the NFL. Mahomes should have plenty of time to get the ball to his playmakers while the running game (with Clyde Edwards-Helaire) is expected to improve. Steve Spagnuolo's defense is already a top 10 unit in points allowed, but has the potential to jump into the top five. Kansas City should be playing in Los Angeles come February.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +650
Sullivan: It hasn't happened since the Patriots did it in 2003 and 2004, but the Buccaneers have all the potential in the world to repeat as Super Bowl champions. Tampa Bay was able to retain every single starter from that championship-winning squad of a season ago and that continuity should make for an easier title defense. It also doesn't hurt that Tom Brady will be even more comfortable within Bruce Arians' offense heading into his second season with the team.
DeArdo: No one has repeated as champion since 2003-04, but no champion in the years since then have managed to bring back each of its 22 starters like Tampa Bay was able to do this offseason. The fact that they have seven-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady under center doesn't hurt, either.
Buffalo Bills +1200
Wilson: Josh Allen will be better in 2021 and that's a scary proposition. He has playmakers up and down the offense and the defense will be much-improved under Sean McDermott.
Trapasso: HOOOOOOMER. Yes, my family has deep roots in Western New York and I live in the Buffalo area. But, come on. We both know this is a legitimate, reasonable pick. Everyone agrees the Bills are a Super Bowl contender. This is an official Bills Super Bowl pick. They essentially retained their entire roster that lost four games in 2020 -- one on a Hail Mary. And the quarterbacks they face this year? Likely five against rookies -- Mac Jones, Zach Wilson 2x each and Trevor Lawrence -- and the notable veteran passers they'll see include just Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, Matt Ryan, Ryan Tannehill, and Ben Roethlisberger.
San Francisco 49ers +1400
Brinson: This number is getting shorter by the day in the preseason, with Trey Lance flashing some major upside. Kyle Shanahan's willingness to buck convention and go with multiple QBs intrigues the heck out of me. I know it "doesn't work in the NFL" (or really ever) but if Jimmy Garoppolo and Lance are both bought in to winning a ton of football games I think Shanny has the offensive acumen to make it work. The division is obviously very tough, but the 49ers were by far the most injury-riddled team last year and don't have to play back-to-back games on the ankle-biting turf monster that is MetLife Stadium this year. Raheem Mostert and Trey Sermon look explosive and the addition of Alex Mack -- plus Trent Williams returning -- gives them a loaded offensive line. Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk are perfect YAC monsters for this offense and people forgot what George Kittle did in 2019 (over 1k yards and 85 catches). A defensive bounce back and above-average health could turn the 49ers into a monster this season.
Sullivan: Not exactly digging too deep down the barrel for this pick, but I do think that the Niners are being slept on a bit. It wasn't too long ago that they were a quarter away from winning the Super Bowl and they should be right back in the thick of it in 2021 now that the club is fully healthy. Even if Jimmy Garoppolo starts the entire season over rookie Trey Lance, the veteran has shown the ability -- when healthy -- to win football games, so the looming quarterback change shouldn't impact this pick all too much.
Green Bay Packers +1400
Breech: Aaron Rodgers seems to play better when there's drama and there was a lot of drama surrounding him this offseason, which I'm pretty sure is going to translate into a Packers Super Bowl win.
Baltimore Ravens +1400
Benjamin: It's fine to be skeptical of Lamar Jackson's big-game passing, but Baltimore can never be counted out because of his electricity, John Harbaugh's calm hand, and the defense's underrated feistiness.
Kerr: I'd like this pick so much more if J.K. Dobbins wasn't out for the season with a torn ACL, but the Ravens' run game is still dangerous with Gus Edwards getting regular carries and Lamar Jackson at quarterback. Justice Hill or Ty'Son Williams will have to step up this year, which wouldn't be a surprise given the strength of Baltimore's offensive line. The defense remains one of the best in the NFL, especially in the secondary. The question remains if Jackson can throw the Ravens to a championship? Last year was huge for Baltimore in winning a playoff game on the road against an incredibly talented Tennessee team, showcasing the Ravens having a deep playoff run in them. Home-field advantage for the second time in three years could be the ticket toward getting Baltimore to the Super Bowl in a loaded AFC.
Seattle Seahawks +2500
Dubin: 2500 is too long a shot for Russell Wilson and Co.
Jones: Surprisingly low for a perennial contender. We saw Seattle's pass rush finally come alive after the Carlos Dunlap acquisition last year. Once Duane Brown comes back and works his way into the offense, I think the line will be able to protect Russell Wilson better. And going through the wringer of the NFC West will prove the Seahawks battle tested once we get to January. On top of that, fans will be back in Seattle to provide a much-needed boost.
Benjamin: Everyone's hot on the Rams because they made the big moves this offseason, but all Seattle has done since Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll arrived is post winning season after winning season. If the "D" can get hot, they could surprise, and what better way for Russ to seize even more leverage than by claiming another trophy?
New England Patriots +3000
DeArdo: Two decades ago, the Patriots shocked the NFL landscape by winning their first Super Bowl. Can history repeat itself in 2021? It's going to be hard, but given their roster revamp, the Patriots could indeed make a run at an eighth title, assuming they are able to make the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints +3000
Brinson: I think there's a chance Jameis Winston is an UPGRADE over Drew Brees. At the very least the offense could be more explosive vertically and tread water or better until Michael Thomas comes back. The offensive line is good, Alvin Kamara is a superstar and there are enough weapons for Sean Payton to cook. The defense is really sneaky -- Dennis Allen flopped with the Raiders but he's been killing it in New Orleans and they have the potential to be top five or top 10 even with the loss of Trey Hendrickson.
Los Angeles Chargers +3000
Trapasso: Justin Herbert's under-pressure brilliance from his rookie season will probably regress to the mean slightly in Year 2, but with NFL starting experience under his belt, he'll likely take a step forward from a clean pocket. Oh, and his pockets will be cleaner this year than they were last thanks to the Round 1 selection of athletic blocker Rashawn Slater.
Pittsburgh Steelers +4000
Wilson: The defense will be really good and if a young offensive line can come together early, Pittsburgh could be one of the biggest surprises of the '21 season.
Breech: Everyone is sleeping on the Steelers after the way they ended the 2020 season, which makes them the perfect dark-horse Super Bowl pick. Getting 40-1 odds with a team that started 11-0 and won its division last year is insane.
Washington Football Team +5000
Prisco: At 50-1, they are worth a look. The defense will be dominant and Ryan Fitzpatrick will be an upgrade at quarterback. This team is talented, while the division isn't that tough.
Edwards: The Chargers intrigue me at 30-1 but I am going to the deepest sleeper that I would consider and that is Washington. They are a bit reliant on the health of Ryan Fitzpatrick but I believe the rest of the roster is very talented, particularly on defense. It is highly unlikely this comes to fruition but, at 50-1, it might be worth a splash.
Dajani: The Washington Football Team and the Chicago Bears are the two teams who made the playoffs last year and have the highest odds to win the Super Bowl in 2022. Washington gave the eventual Super Bowl champions a run for their money with a practice squad quarterback, and now have a big-armed veteran who should improve their passing attack. The NFC East is known to disappoint anyway, so I like this flier and will hope for a magical postseason run.
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September 03, 2021 at 01:09AM
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2022 Super Bowl odds, staff picks: Chiefs popular best bet, Washington viewed as flier opportunity - CBS Sports
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